Larco, NicoHowell, AmandaLeavitt, MasonCarlton, IanKim, James2023-06-072023-06-072023-02https://hdl.handle.net/1794/2837155 pagesAn often-claimed benefit of autonomous vehicle (AV) deployment has been its reduction on parking demand and the potential impact this could have on development. If demand for parking is drastically reduced by the deployment of AVs, the logic is that developers would need to build far less parking than is required today by code and/or is deemed necessary to serve users, freeing up land for development and making projects financially viable. Using San Francisco as a case study, researchers at the Urbanism Next Center and ECONorthwest explored this idea in depth, modeling the potential impacts that AVs could have on development. To inform our analysis, we first conducted a literature review of modeled/predicted reductions of parking demand based on the deployment of AVs. Efforts to estimate the potential impact of AVs on parking demand have produced varied results ranging from as much as a 90% decrease in demand in some scenarios to an overall increase in demand in others. The inconsistency in results underscores the complexity of the topic and the difficulties that are associated with trying to model future demand. Model results are dependent on the parameters and assumptions made about factors such as fleet mix (e.g., shared vs. individually owned AVs), market penetration/adoption rate, the percentage of rides that are pooled, and more.enCreative Commons BY-NC-ND 4.0-USparkingautonomous vehiclesdevelopment patternsTechnical Report