Sticky Information and Economic Dynamics

dc.contributor.advisorPiger, Jeremy
dc.contributor.authorhart, evan
dc.date.accessioned2024-08-07T22:00:41Z
dc.date.available2024-08-07T22:00:41Z
dc.date.issued2024-08-07
dc.description.abstractIn this dissertation, I investigate economic dynamics under the sticky information model as- sumption. First, I propose a novel method for evaluating the likelihood of a nonlinear model with time-varying parameters and endogenous variables. Using this method, I estimate model param- eters and unobserved time-varying parameters of the sticky information Phillips curve. Finally, I adapt a bounded rationality assumption to an endogenous sticky information model, further enriching our understanding of economic behavior under these conditions.In Chapter 1, I propose a method to evaluate the likelihood of a nonlinear model with time- varying parameters and endogenous variables. Existing techniques to estimate time-varying param- eter models with endogenous variables are restricted to conditionally linear models. The proposed approach modifies a Sequential Monte Carlo filter to evaluate the likelihood of a nonlinear process with an endogenous variable. The modified filter augments the typical measurement and state equations with an equation incorporating instrumental variables. I evaluate the performance of a Bayesian estimator based on the likelihood calculation using simulations and find that the approach generates accurate estimates of both parameters and the unobserved time-varying parameter. In Chapter 2, I analyze the empirical evidence of variation in a structural parameter of the sticky information Phillips curve. This involves scrutinizing both the statistical significance of the variation and its economic implications. Upon examination, I discover a systematic trend in firms’ attention to relevant macroeconomic conditions, indicating a decline in attention over time. In Chapter 3, I study the stability of equilibrium in a general equilibrium model with information frictions. The equilibrium attentiveness rate is stable under a decreasing gain adaptive learning scheme. This stability motivates a review of the transition between equilibrium rates; a drop in the cost of gathering and processing information is used to shift the equilibrium. The attentiveness rate immediately jumps and increases asymptotically, approaching the new equilibrium.en_US
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/1794/29783
dc.language.isoen_US
dc.publisherUniversity of Oregon
dc.rightsAll Rights Reserved.
dc.titleSticky Information and Economic Dynamics
dc.typeElectronic Thesis or Dissertation
thesis.degree.disciplineDepartment of Economics
thesis.degree.grantorUniversity of Oregon
thesis.degree.leveldoctoral
thesis.degree.namePh.D.

Files

Original bundle
Now showing 1 - 1 of 1
Loading...
Thumbnail Image
Name:
hart_oregon_0171A_13902.pdf
Size:
649.52 KB
Format:
Adobe Portable Document Format