THEVALIDATION OF THE DISSOCIATIVE EXPERIENCES SCALE AGAINST THE CRITERION OF THE SCID-D, USING RECEIVER OPERATING CHARACTERISTICS (ROC) ANALYSIS Nel Draijer, Ph.D. Suzette Boon, Ph.D. Drs. Draijer and Boon are psychologists in the Department of Psychiatry, Free University of Amsterdam in Amsterdam, The Netherlands. For reprints write Nel Draijer, Ph.D, Department ofPsychiat- ry, PCD, De Boelelaan 1117, 1081 HVAmsterdam, The Nether- lands. An earlier version of this paper was presented at the Ninth International Conference on Multiple Personality/ Dissociative States, Chicago, Illinois, October 1992. Acknowledgements: This work was supported in part by a grant from the Dutch Department of Welfare, Health and Culture. We wish to thank drs. L. Wouters, Department of Social and Epidemiological Psychiatry, Municipal Health Service, Amsterdam, who conducted the LABROC1-analysis. ABSTRACT Objective and method: The aim of this study is to analyze the util- ity of the Dissociative Experience Scale (DES) as a screener for dis- sociative disorders. The Structured Clinical Interview for DSM-III- R DissociativeDisorders (SCID-D) was used as standard of comparison. Forty-three patients with a dissociativedisorderand 36 control patients with a range of psychiatric diagnoses participated in the study. Results: The DES distinguishes dissociative disorder patients from non-dissociative disorder patients very well (p<.0001); diag- nostic utility of the DES based on Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) analysis is excellent (.4 UC=. 96). The optimal cut-off score of 25 yields good to excellent sensitivity (93 %) and specificity (86% ). The positive predictive value of the DES (>25) in random clinical samples is limited (.26 - .54) due to the relatively low estimated prevalence rate of dissociative disorders (5 - 15% respectively); the negative predictive value is high (.99). The use of a confirmatory interview such as the SLID-D is required to eliminate false positives. INTRODUCTION The Dissociative Experience Scale developed by Bernstein & Putnam (1986) is the most widely used instrument for the screening for dissociative symptomatology in clinical sam- ples. Good reliability and validity have been reported at dif- ferent centres (Bernstein & Putnam, 1986; Ross, Norton & Anderson, 1988; Ensink & van Otterloo, 1989; Frischholz et 28 al., 1990). Forthe screening of dissociative disorders in clinical sam- ples different cut-off scores of the DES are suggested in the literature (Chu & Dill, 1990; Carlson et al., 1990; Ross, Anderson, Fleisner & Morton, 1991; Saxe, etal., 1993). Most are based on median scores for certain diagnostic groups, few are based on validation research. The 'golden standard' for the assessment of the dissociative disorders in those stud- ies was an independent clinical diagnosis according toDSM- Illcriteria. No other criterion was available at the time. To assess the prevalence of severe dissociative symp- tomatology in a clinical sample (N=98), Chu and Dill (1990) used a cut-off score of 31.3 based on the median for the 10 post traumatic stress disorder (PTSD) patients and a cut-off score of 57.1 based on the 20 multiple personality disorder (MPD) patients who participated in the original study by Bernstein and Putnam (1986). Chu and Dill used the DES without comparison with another clinical diagnostic inter- view. Carlson et al. (1993) analyzed the capacity of the DES to distinguish between subjects with and without a clinical diagnosis of MPD in a multicenter sample of 1051 subjects with a range of psychiatric diagnoses. They concluded that the DES performed quite well as a screening instrument to identify subjects with MPD. Using discriminant analysis they found a sensitivity of 76% (proportion of subjects with MPD who were correctly classified) and a specificity of 76% (pro- portion of subjects without MPD who were correctly classi- fied). For clinical use they suggested a cut-off score of 30 to identify patients likely to have MPD; this cut-off score result- ed in their study in a sensitivity of 80% and a specificity of 80%: 31% of the subjects misclassified as having MPD had another dissociative disorder and 30% had PTSD. Based on an estimated prevalence-rate of MPD of 5% in random clin- ical samples, they calculate the positive predictive value of the DES: only 17% of the patients with a DES score of 30 or more actually had MPD. Ross et al. (1991), trying to estimate the prevalence of MPD in a clinical population (N=299), used a cut-off score of 20 with the motivation that DES scores beyond 20 are sug- gestive of PTSD or a dissociative disorder; for their choice of this cut-off point they refer to the original study of Bernstein & Putnam (1986). Ross et al. found a prevalence rate of patients with a DES score beyond 20 of 31% . Diagnostic inter- views with the DDIS confirmed the presence of a dissocia- tive disorder in '77.5% of these patients. Saxe et al. (1993) chose a cut-off score of 25 for the same DISSOCIATION, Vol. VI, No.1, March 1993 DRAIJER/BOON purpose, because it is an intermediate to the scores of 30, used by Chu and Dill (1990) and by Quimby and Putnam (1991), and 20, used by Ross et al. (1991). Fifteen percent of this clinical sample (N=110) scored above 25 on the DES. Using the DDIS as diagnostic instrument they assessed a dis- sociative disorder in 100% of those patients. Neither Ross et al. (1991), nor Saxe et at. (1993) take the possibility of false negatives - dissociative disorder patients with a DES-score below the cut-off point - into account. Steinberg, Rounsaville & Cicchetti (1991) were the first to validate the DES as a screening instrument against a struc- tured clinical interview (SCID-D) as a standard for systemati- c comparison. They investigated its utility as a screening instru- ment for the identification of patients at high risk for dissociative disorders and examined several possible cut-off scores. Their results indicate that a DES cut-off score of 15- 20 yields good to excellent sensitivity (90-95%) and speci- ficity (93%) as a screening instrument in an outpatient pop- ulation (N=36). For higher cut-off scores the sensitivity can be much lower. Steinberg et al. conclude that high-risk patients identified with the DES should be further evaluated with a diagnostic instrument, such as the SCID-D or by in-depth clinical follow-up. Our study is to some extent a replication of this valida- tion study of Steinberg et al. (1991): we use the SCID-D as standard of comparison to determine the best possible cut- off score of the DES. We use ROC-analysis to illustrate the choice of optimal cut-off. The main difference is that we did not use a normal comparison group, as we were interested in the discriminant ability of the DES in clinical populations. Sample sizes (79 versus 36) and characteristics (in- and out- patients versus outpatients only) differ as well. And to enhance understanding of the false positive en negative cases we will give a clinical picture of the patients concerned. Finally we will discuss the predictive value of the DES as a screener for dissociative pathology. METHOD Instruments 1. The screening instrument: the Dissociative Experience Scale. The DES is a 28 item self-report questionnaire that is developed to quantify dissociative experiences in both normal and clinical populations. The questions are rated with slashes on 100-mm lines that indicate where the subject falls on a continuum for each item. The DES score ranges from 0 to 100 and represents the mean of all item scores. The DES is not intended as a diagnostic instrument for the assessment of the DSM- III-R dissociative disorders, but has been used as a screen- ing instrument for the identification of patients with a dissociative disorder. Although a Dutch translation exist- ed (Ensink & van Otterloo, 1989) we tested a new trans- lation (Boon, Draijer & Van der Hart, 1988) that fol- lowed the original more closely. 2. The Structured Clinical Interview forDSM-III-R Dissocia- tive Disorders (SCID-D) (Steinberg, Rounsaville & Cicchetti, 1990; Steinberg et al., 1991) is a diagnostic instrument developed for the systematic assessment of five dissociative symptom areas (amnesia, depersonal- ization, derealization, identity confusion and identity fragmentation) and for the assessment of the diagnoses of the DSM-III-Rdissociative disorders. Severity ratings of the 5 dissociative symptoms range form 1-4 (absent- severe); the total SCID-D score range from 5-20. Good to excellent reliability and validity have been reported in the US as well as in The Netherlands (Steinberg et al., 1990; Boon & Draijer, 1991; 1992; I993b). Administration of the DES To prevent bias, the DES-questionnaires were submitted one week prior to the SCID-D interview. Patients with a dissocia- tive disorder were asked to complete the DES by their treat- ing clinician. Patients without a dissociative disorder were given the DES by the independent psychiatrist, who had inter- viewed them one week prior to the SCID-D interview. All patients completed the DES by themselves and returned the questionnaire at the SCID-D interview. The SCID-D interview All patients were interviewed with the SCID-D by the authors. Interviews were videotaped or (in a few cases) audiotaped. Informed consent, including consent to video- and audiota- ping, was obtained from all patients. Subjects Two groups of psychiatric patients were compared on their DES-scores: patients with and without a DSM-III-Rdissociative disorder. Seventy-nine psychiatric patients-inpatients as well as outpatients-participated in the study. A. The dissociative disorder patients. This group consist- ed of 43 patients with a dissociative disorder, assessed by an independent clinician and confirmed by the authors with the SCID-D: 20 patients with a diagnosis multiple personality disorder (MPD) and 23 with a diagnosis dis- sociative disorder not otherwise specified (DDNOS) . Two patients were originally participating in the control group, but a dissociative disorder (in both cases DDNOS) was assigned based on the SCID-D interview. B. The control group without a dissociative disorder. This group consisted of 36 psychiatric patients (both inpa- tients and outpatients), drawn from two university psy- chiatric clinics. Clinical DSM-111--R diagnoses were assigned on the basis of consensus within the treatment teams, based on all available data. One week prior to the SCID-D interview all control subjectswere interviewed by an independent psychiatrist with the Present State Examination (PSE) (Wing, Cooper & Sartorius, 1974) and a selection of questions from the Structured Interview for DSM-III-Rpersonality disorders (SIDP-R) (Pfohl, Stangle, & Zimmerman, 1992). Dissociative dis- orders in this group (n-2) were excluded with the SCID- D by the authors. 29 DISSOCIAT10N, Vol. VALIDATION OF THE DES The control patients had a range of Axis I and II diag- noses. On Axis I patients were diagnosed with: mood disor- der; schizophrenia; delusional disorder; psychotic disorder; eating disorder; somatoform disorder; obsessive compulsive disorder; adjustment disorder; organic mental disorder; anx- iety disorder. On Axis II patients were diagnosed with: bor- derline personality disorder; histrionic personality disorder; personality disorder not otherwise specified and dependent personality. Demographic characteristics The two diagnostic groups did not differ in clinical set- ting, nor marital status or employment. They slightly dif- fered in age, dissociative disorder patients having a mean age of 32.9 (SD=.3) versus controls having a mean age of 36.3 (SD=0.2) (t=1.67 df=78 p=.10). Calculation of AUC and ROC curve. We used I ABROCI-program for the calculation of the Area Under Curve and the ROC curve. LABROC1 is a modi- fied version by Metz et al. of the program RSCORE II (Dorfman, 1982). RESULTS Demographic characteristics and DES-scores. In the whole sample there was no significant relation of DES-score with age, marital status and level of education, nor with treatment setting. Neither was there a difference between patients from different treatment settings (outpa- tients versus inpatients) in the separate groups. Reliability Cronbachs alpha coefficient (Cronbach, 1971) was used to estimate the internal consistency of DES scores. The alpha coefficient of the DES based on 74 subjects with answers on all 28 questions was .96. The Dutch version of the DES was found to be highly in to r- nally consistent. For its subscales (based on the fac- toranalysis described by Carlson et al. 1991) Cronbach alpha was .90 for amnesic dissociation (8 items) , .91 for absorption and imaginative involve- ment (9 items) and .88 for deper- sonalization and derealization (6 items). The subscales are highly inter- nally consistent as well. Validity The dissociative disorder patients differed significantly from the non-dis- sociative controls in the severity of the dissociative experiences measured by the DES (t=11.1 df=76 p=<.00001). Dissociative disorder patients had a 30 mean DES score of 47.6 (SD=+16.3) and a median of 46.8 (range 11.6 - 81.3). Patients without a dissociative disorder had a mean DES score of 12.0 (SD=1.4) and a median of 9.3 (range 0.0 - 38.6) . The mean DES score of the two groups differed more than two standard deviations. That is more than the slight age difference could account for. A graph- ic representation of the frequency distributions of DES-scores in both groups is presented in Figure 1. Among the dissociative disorder group we found sig- nificant differences on the DES-scores between MPD and DDNOS patients; patients (n=20) had a meanDES score of 56.8 (SD-3.4) and a median of 57.8; DDNOS patients (n=23) had a mean DES score of39.7 (SD=4.5) and a medi- an of 40.7. Those two groups did not differ on the severity of amnesia, depersonalization, derealization and identity alter- ation as measured by theSCID-D; they differed slightly on identity confusion (t=2.11 df=42 p<.05), the MPD patients reporting more confusion as to who they were. We will dis- cuss the meaning of these results later. In the whole sample the total DES-score correlated signifi- cantly with the severity of the five dissociative symptoms, assessed with the SCID-D: amnesia (r=.68), depersonaliza- tion (r=.64), derealization (r=.58),identity confusion (r=.76) and identity fragmentation (r=.78). Both total scores cor- related strongly (r=.78). Correlations between the severity of the five symptom areas assessed with theSCID-D and the subscales of the DES (cf. Bernstein et al., 1991) reached from .58 till .73; all three subscales correlated most strongly with the severity of identity alteration, amnesic dissociation and depersonalization/derealization even more so than with their counterparts in the SCID-D. Although the two instruments have different purposes - theDES being a screening instru- ment and the SCID-D being a clinical diagnostic instrument FIGURE 1 Dissociative disorders vs controls. Frequency distribution of DES. Percentage 15 10 5 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95100 DES scores Dissoc. die. (N-43) Pe. controls (N6) DI55OCIATIO`, Vol. \1, No. 1, March 1993 DRAIJER/BOON - these results support the convergent validity of theDES with the SCID-D as criterion. Sensitivity We used the SCID-D as the standard of comparison or `truth standardto analyze the different DES cut-off scores. Table 1 shows the sensitivity and speci- ficity values, false positive and false neg- ative rates at each cut-off score. Sensitivity at a certain cut-off score indi- cates how likely a patient with a dis- sociative disorder is to have a score above this cut-off point; specificity at a certain cut-off score indicates how likely a patient without a dissociative disorder is to have a score below this cut-off point. ROC analysis Analysis of the receiver operating characteristics (ROC) is-according to Rey, Morris-Yates and Stanislaw (1992)-the only tech- nique currently available that provides an overall index of diagnostic accu- racy that is not dependent on prevalence (as is pos- itive predictive value) or on the cut-off score (as are sensitivity and speci- ficity) . ROC analysis orig- inally used in radiologi- cal and biomedical research, is judged to be highly promising in the comparison of the qual- ities of psychiatric screen- ing tests (Mari Williams, 1985; Bridges Goldberg, 1986; Murphy et al., 1987; Weinstein, Berwick, Goldman, Murphy Barsky, 1989; Hsiao, Bartko Potter, 1989; Rey et al., 1992). An index of discriminating ability of a screening instru- ment can be obtained from ROC analysis. The most useful index is the area under the ROC curve (Swets 1979; Swets, Pickett, Whitehead Getty, 1979). This curve FIGURE 2 Estimated binormal ROC curve. Dissociative Experience Scale. Comparing 43 DD-pat. with 36 Ps. controls. 10 20 30 40 50 80 70 80 90 100 False Positive Rate - DES ROC +- Random ROC Standard of comparison: SCID-D AUC = .96 SE = .02 FIGURE 3 Positive predictive value of DES at different estimated prevalence rates for dissociative disorders. Cut-off scores DES Estimated Prevalence - 5% 10% 15% Based on DES against SCID-D Positive Predictive Value 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 0 5 10 3 I I 1 I I I 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 31 DISSOCIATION, Vol. VI. No. I, March 1993 VALIDATION OF THE DES is obtained by plotting sensitivity against false positive rate for all possible cut-off points. The area under curve (AUG) varies from 50% (for a test with no better discriminating ability than chance) till 100% (for a test with perfect dis- crimination between the patients with and without the dis- order: all values fall along the upper and left boundaries). Figure 2 is based on the sensitivity rates plotted against the specificity for all possible cut-off points of the DES; it shows the estimated binormaI ROC curve. This curve indicates that the DES discriminates rather well between dissociative and non-dissociative disorders: 95.6% (Standard Error = 2.3%) of the trapezoid is under the curve (Hanley & McNeil 1982) . This means that the DES has an extremely high discrimi- nating ability. Following ROC-analysis the optimum cut-off point (a compromise between high sensitivity and low false positive rate) was at the point on the ROC curve which is the greatest perpendicular distance from the diagonal (Mari & Williams, 1985) . This results in a DES cut-off score of 25 yield- ing optimal sensitivity (93%) and specificity (86%). Predictive Value of the DES The positive predictive value of a positive test result is defined as the proportion of subjects correctly identified by the test as having the disorder (true positives) to all subjects TABLE 1 Sensitivity, specificity and predictive value of the Dissociative Experience Scale at a range of cut-off scores, discrim- inating between 43 psychiatric patients with and 36 patients without DSM-III dissociative disorders, also positive predictive values at estimated prevalence rates of 15%, 10%, and 5%. Cut-off Sensitivity Specificity False Pos.Rate Positive Negative Predictive Value Score (1spec)/ False Neg. Rate (1 seas) Predictive Value Predictive Value Prevalence: 15%, 10%, 5% Positive 15%/10%5% Neg. 15% 85 0.00 1.00 0.00/ 1.00 1.00 0.46 1.00/ 1.00/ 1.00 0.85 80 0.02 1.00 0.00 / 0.98 0.99 0.46 Imo/ Imo/ Loo 0.85 75 0.05 1.00 0.00 / 0.95 0.99 0.47 1.00/ 1.00/1.00 0.85 70 0.12 1.00 0.00 / 0.88 0.99 0.49 1.o0/1.00/1.00 0.86 60 0.21 1.00 0.00/ 0.79 0.99 0.51 ].oo/Imo/ Lao 0.87 65 0.21 1.00 0.00 / 0.79 0.99 0.51 1.00/ 1.00/1.00 0.87 55 0.28 1.00 0.00 / 0.72 0.99 0.54 1.00/ 1.o0/ 1.o0 0.89 50 0.47 1.00 0.00 / 0.53 0.99 0.61 1.00/1.00/1.00 0.91 45 0.56 1.00 0.00 / 0.44 0.99 0.65 1.00/ 1.00/ 1.00 0.92 40 0.65 1.00 0.00 / 0.35 0.99 0.71 1.00/ 1.00/ 1.00 0.94 35 0.81 0.89 0.11 / 0.19 0.90 0.80 0.57/0.45/0/28 0.98 30 0.88 0.89 0.11/ 0.12 0.90 0.86 0.57/0.45/0/28 0.98 25 0.93 0.86 0.14/ 0.07 0.89 0.91 0.54/0.42/0.26 0.99 20 0.95 0.78 0.22/ 0.05 0.84 0.93 0.42/0.32/0.19 0.99 15 0.95 0.75 0.25 / 0.05 0.82 0.93 0.40/0/30/0/17 0.99 10 1.00 0.50 0.50/ 0.00 0.70 1.00 0.26/0.18/0.10 1.00 5 1.00 0.31 0.69 / 0.00 0.63 1.00 0.20/0/14/0/07 1.000 0 1.00 0.00 1.00/ 0.00 0.54 1.00 0.15/0.10/0.05 1.00 Positive predictive value (corrected for prevalence) _ [sensitivity x prevalence]/ [(sensitivity x prevalence) + (1-specificity) x (I- prevalence)] Negative predictive value (corrected for prevalence) = [specificity. x (1-prevalence)] / [(specificity x (I-prevalence) + (1-sensitivity) x prevalence] 32 DISSOCIATION, Vol.March DRAIJER/BOON identified by the test as having the disorder (true positives + false positives) (see Table 2). In our sample at a cut off score of 25 the positive predictive value of a positive score on the DES is 40 / 40 + 5 = .89 (89%). The negative predic- tive value of a negative test result is defined as the propor- tion of subjects correctly identified by the test as not having the disorder (true negatives) to all subjects identified by the test as not having the disorder (true negatives + false nega- tives) . In our sample at a cut off score of 25 the negative pre- dictive value of a negative score on the DES is 31 / 31 + 3 = .91 (91%). Predictive value, however, is affected by the prevalence of the disorder in that particular population. Even when sen- sitivity and specificity are high, the predictive power of a test is low if the prevalence of the condition in that population is low (Rey et al., 1992). We calculated different positive pre- dictive values for different prevalence rates of dissociative disorders among psychiatric patients: a relatively high esti- mate of 15% (based on Saxe et al., 1993), a more conserva- tive estimate of 5% (Carlson et al., 1993) and a value in between. The positive predictive value of a DES cut-off score of 25 would drop from 89% to 54% at prevalence rate 15%, to 42% at prevalence rate 10% and to 26% at rate 5% (Table 1; Figure 3). Implications for screening clinical use DES For screening of dissociative pathology in a random psy- chiatric population one needs to have a high sensitivity and a high negative predictive value: as many cases as possible that have the disorder need to be selected and the chance that a negative test score really excludes the disorder illness needs to be maximal. So in our sample one could prefer a cut-off score of 20 for screening purposes, reaching a sen- sitivity of 95% and a specificity of 78%; the 22% false posi- tives at that rate need to be excluded by clinical assessment or the use of a structured clinical interview, such as the SCID- D. In a random clinical sample, though, a cut-off score of 25 has an optimal negative predictive value (99% of the cases with a DES below 25 can be expected not to have the disor- der), but a limited positive predictive value. At an estimat- ed prevalence rate of 15% only 54% of the positive scores can be expected to have a dissociative disorder and at an estimated prevalence of 10% only 42% (Table 1). For clinical use, to identify patients likely to dissociate, a score of 40 predicts a dissociative disorder in all cases: the estimated positive predictive value in a random clinical sam- ple assuming a prevalence of dissociative disorders of 15% is 100%. But at this score one `missesmany dissociative dis- order patients: in our sample 37% of all patients with a dis- sociative disorder had a score below 40. For a detailed sum- mary of results we refer to Table 1. Qualitative analysis false negativesand false positives. With 25 as optimal cut-off point, we found in our sam- ple a false negative rate of 7% and a false positive rate of 14% (Table 1). To get a clinical understanding of deviant DES-scores, we analyzed the 7% `false negativesand the 21% `false positivesqualitatively. Patients with disorderand a low DES score (< 25): false negatives The two patients with a dissociative disorder and a DES- score below 25 (11.6 and 13.6 respectively), turned out to be both cases with strong resis- tance against acknowledging the dissociative symptoms. One women was able to report severe dissociative symptoms in the structured clinical interview (SCID-D)--amnesia, deper- sonalization, derealization, identity-confusion, and fragmentation-and reached a total SCID-D score of 20 (which is the highest possible). The other women had showed diffi- culty to admit the presence of dissociative symptoms, but was positive on all indirect ques- tions of the SCID-D interview. Both patients met criteria for dissociative disorder not oth- erwise specified. In both cases the diagnosis of a dissociative disorders was independently confirmed over time. The clin- ical pictures of the two patients were as follows. TABLE 2 Two x two contingency table obtained when using a cut-off score of 25 on the Dissociative Experience Scale Diagnosis Dissociative Disorder (MPD/DDNOS) No Dissociative Disorder Score on DES (N=43) (N=36) > 25 (N=45) 40 (TP) 5 (FP) < 25 (N=34) 3 (FN) 31 (TN) Of all subjects 89,9% were correctly classified at this cut-off score. Sensitivity = T P/(TP+FN) = .93 False Negative Rate = .07 Specificity = TN/(TN+FP) = .86 False Positive Rate = .14 Positive predictive value = TP/(TP+FP) = .89 Negative predictive value = TN/(TN+FN) = . 91 33 DISSOCI.ITIOS, Vol. V I. o. I, Mardi 1 93 VALIDATION OF THE DES One 33-year old patient was clearly ambivalent and very con- fused about herself. At the research interview she was ini- tially minimizing and denying dissociative symptoms and she showed signs of a continuous internal struggle. Moreover she was recurrently dissociating during the interview. Gradually she was able to give more information. She also told the interviewer that she heard almost continuously voic- es in her head that told her not to answer the questions. Although at the research interview it became clear that she probably suffered fromMPD, this diagnosis was not assigned because it was not yet possible to get information on alter personalities. At follow-upMPD was confirmed. The second patient was 19 years old and had just fin- ished highschool, left her family of origin and started uni- versity in a different part of the country. She had had a his- tory of (pseudo) seizures and had been treated for epilepsy since age 16, although the epilepsy was not clearly corrobor- ated by EEG findings. Since she had left home, there had been a dramatic increase in seizures. Moreover, she had only recently become aware that often after a seizure she would change into a younger person with the same name as she had, who was very confused and unaware of the current date or the place were she was. The patient was totally amnesic for these episodes but had heard in detail about these "younger selves" from friends who were looking after her. They had told her that they had met several younger persons with dif- ferent ages - 12, 14 and 16. These younger persons seemed to be unaware of the existence of each other and of the fact that they were currently at a university in another part of the country. Some were very anxious, others were preoccupied that they had to go home and see the father. At the research interview the patient was telling this in detail without any emotion. She did report clear amnesic episodes, that would always start with a pseudoseizure. She did not report indi- rect indications for amnesic episodes such as finding things she couldn account for etc. She reported occasional deper- sonalization or derealization and denied identity confusion. She did not report any Schneiderian symptoms and didn dissociate during the interview. She reported vague, frag- mented memories of sexual abuse by her father, starting at age 12. Although this patient definitely minimized some of her symptoms, the low mean DES score was more in concurrence with the way she presented at the research interview. Control patients without a dissociative disorder, but with a high DES score (>25): false positives Among the control patients without a dissociative dis- order, five patients had a meanDES score above the cut-off point of 25 (28.6, 35.9, 37.5, 38.3 and 38.6). Four of these patients had a DES score that fell in the range of scores of patients with a dissociative disorder not otherwise specified (DDNOS) or a post traumatic stress disorder. It is of interest to note that these five patients did not have comparable high scores on theSCID-D,in fact two patients had the lowest possible total score of 5, which means that, at the SCID-D interview, no dissociative symptoms were reported. Two patients had reported recurrent episodes of 34 depersonalization and derealization at theSCID-D interview (with atotalSCID-D score of 9 and one of 11) and one patient (total SCID-D score of 7) reported depersonalization which primarily seemed to be associated with the use of soft drugs (marihuana). A further analysis of the five patients with a high mean DES score showed the following: The first patient (DES score 28.6; totalSCID-D score 11) was 42 years old. She was in out-patient treatment and was assigned a diagnosis of schizo-affective disorder with histrionic and borderline traits. She had a long psychiatric history (since age 22). There was drug and alcohol addic- tion in the past. She was currently on depot neuroleptics. At the SCID-D interview she reported recurrent deperson- alization in the present and severe derealization associated with psychotic episodes during which she was hospitalized. She reported a history of physical abuse by her mother for which she reported to the police as a teenager. The second patient (DES score 38.6; totalSCID-D score 5) was 47 years old. She was assigneda DSM-III-Rdiagnosis of somatoform pain disorder on axis I and histrionic per- sonality disorder on axis II. The independent psychiatrist who had assessed thePSE and the SIDP-R had commented that the patient seemed to aggravate her symptoms. At the SCID-D interview she did not report dissociative symptoms, at the trauma interview she did report severe emotional neglect. The third patient (DES score 35.9; totalSCID-D score 9) was 23 years old. She had no current axis I diagnosis and a histrionic personality disorder on axis II; she had reported some depersonalization and derealization at the inter- view; her most important complaints were panic attacks and the inability to be alone. She also had had an anorectic episode during adolescence. She did not report a history of physi- cal or sexual abuse. The fourth patient (DES score 38.3; totalSCID-D score 5) was 50 years old and inpatient at the time of the inter- view. She was assigned the diagnosis schizophrenia, para- noid type and personality disorder not otherwise specified with histrionic and borderline traits. She had had a history of psychotic episodes since age 30 and several psychiatric admissions. The independent psychiatrist, who assessed the PSE and the SIDP-R had commented that the patient was a classical case of hysterical psychosis. She did not report dis- sociative symptoms at the SCID-D interview and she did not report a history of physical or sexual abuse. The last patient (DES score 37.5; totalSCID-D score 7) was 37 years old. She was assigned the diagnosis schizophre- nia and was called "chronic psychotic". She used soft drugs (marihuana) regularly. She reported recurrent feelings of depersonalization at the research interview, but these feel- ings seemed to be closely associated with the use of soft drugs. DES scores of two patients from the original psychiatric control condition were identified as having a dissociative disorder with the SCID-D. A dissociative disorder was detected in two patients, who originally participated in the control group. These two patients had entered the psychiatric control group with a diagnosis of borderline personality disorder. They earned a high mean DISSOCIATION.Vol.VI,No.I.Mardi 1993 DRAIJER/BOON DES score of 42 and 57. If the DES had been used as a screen- ing instrument these two cases would have been identified with both instruments. DISCUSSION This study validates the Dissociative Experience Scale (DES) against a structured clinical interview (SCID-D; Steinberg et al. 1990; 1991) as a standard for systematic comparison. The results show that the Dutch version of the DES (transla- tion Boon, Draijer & Van der I-Tart) discriminates at a high level of significance between patients with and without dis- sociative disorders. We also found a high overall correlation between mean DES scores, total SCID-D scores and SCID-D severity ratings of separate dissociative symptoms. Our results confirm those found in other studies indi- cating that the DES is a valid and reliable self-report instru- ment to measure dissociative pathology (Bernstein & Putnam, 1986; Ross et al. 1988; Ensink & van Otterloo, 1989; Frischholz et al., 1990; Carlson et al., 1993). Our mean and median scores for MPD patients were comparable to those of Bernstein and Putnam's original study and several replication studies both in North America as well as in the Netherlands (Bernstein & Putnam, 1986; Ensink & van Otterloo, 1989; Frischholz et al., 1990). We investigated the utility of the DES as a screening instru- ment for the identification of patients at high risk for dis- sociative disorders and examined several possible cut-off scores using ROC-analysis. The index of discriminating ability of the DES, based on the area under the ROC curve, was .96. This value means that the DES is a test with a very high diag- nostic utility. The index of diagnostic accuracy is not depen- dent on prevalence (as is positive predictive value) or on the cut-off score (as are sensitivity and specificity). Our results indicate that 25 is the optimal cut-off score, yielding good to excellent sensitivity (93%) and specificity (86%) in a select- ed clinical population (N=79). What do these results mean for the use of the DES as a screener in random clinical sam- ples? We calculated the estimated positive predictive value of the DES based on different estimated prevalence rates for dissociative disorders in a clinical sample. At a base rate of 15% (Saxe et al., 1993), this calculation shows a drop of the positive predictive value at cut-off score 25 from 89% in our sample to 54% in a random clinical sample. At a base rate of 10% it drops even further to 42%, and at 5% it drops to 26%. This means that using the DES as a screener in clini- cal samples, one certainly needs to use a clinical diagnostic instrument, such as the SCID-D, to select the `true positives'. Ransohoff and Feinstein (1978) drew attention to the fact that many diagnostic tests have proved to be valueless after optimistic introduction into medical practice, due to the use of a too narrow spectrum for the `diseased' and 'non dis- eased' patients in the study population. They state that the sensitivity of a test should be examined in a broad range of patients with the disorder and that a test should be chal- lenged for its specificity in a broad range of patients with- out the disorder. We may illustrate this by comparing our results to those of Steinberg et al. (1991) and Carlson et al. (1993). In the first study almost identical false negative rates, but much lower false positive rates were found than we did at a cut-off score of 25 (7% versus 14%) or 20 (7% versus 22%). One explanation could be that Steinberg et al. limited their study to outpatients and excluded patients who were very agitat- ed, gravely disabled, or at risk of suicide, whereas we inter- viewed inpatients as well, some of whom were just recover- ing from a psychotic episode at the time of the interview. Steinberg saw 21 psychiatric patients which a range of Axis I diagnoses; we saw 36 control patients among whom sever- al also had an Axis II diagnosis. On the other hand, Steinberg studied a range of dissociative disorder patients, whereas in our sample the dissociative disorders were accidentally lim- ited to MPD and DDNOS. Evidently more research on the diagnostic utility of the DES is needed using a wide spectrum in pathology of dissociative as well as non-dissociative patients. Carlson et al. (1993) assessed the capacity of the DES to blindly predict a psychiatric diagnosis of MPD in a large pool of general psychiatric patients. According to discriminant analysis on a subgroup of 883 subjects (out of 1051) more closely representing patients in a typical psychiatric facility in terms of prevalence rates of MPD, they found a false pos- itive rate of 15% and false negative rate of 24%. The false positive rate is almost identical as in our study. The high false negative rate could be due to the relatively low mean DES score for MPD-patients (42.8, SD=?19.2), which could possibly be explained by a high representation of MPD-patients in early stages of treatment. The analysis of the false negative cases in our study showed that some patients with a dissociative disorder are unable to give an accurate self report, because they are unaware of their symptoms or deny them. This is, to a certain extent, also confirmed by the interesting findings (1) that a signif- icant difference was found in mean DES scores of patients with MPD and patients with DDNOS, but (2) that these groups did not differ significantly in severity of dissociative symp- toms derived with the SCID-D interview. Moreover, at one year follow up we obtained information on 20 of the 24 patients with DDNOS: in 19 of those 20 patients the diagnosis MPD instead of DDNOS was made by the treating clinician and a description of distinct alterpersonalities could be given! These findings confirm the following clinical observations: A major- ity ofMPD patients initially minimizes, denies or is unaware of their dissociative symptoms (Kluft 1987a, 1987b). A self- report questionnaire at that stage may be problematic, because some of these patients deny or may be unaware of their dis- sociative symptoms and therefore are unable to give an accu- rate self-report. When MPD patients have accepted the diagnosis and are more aware of their dissociative symptoms or do not have to deny these symptoms so much, this may influence their scores at a self-report questionnaire. Our hypothesis is that this phenomenon maybe one of the explanations of the fact that DES scores of MPD patients have ranged considerably -from 40.7 to 57-in different studies (Bernstein & Putnam, 1986; Ross, et al., 1988; Ensink & Van Otterloo, 1989; Ross, Miller, Reagor, et al., 1990; Boon & Draijer, 1993a). A further analysis of the false positive cases in our study showed that here was no convergence between the relatively 35 DISS0CL1TI0N. Vol. V1. No. I. March 1993 VALIDATION OF THE DES high DES score and the scores derived from the SCID-D inter- view; a dissociative disorder could be easily ruled out with the SCID-D. Moreover, there were distinct qualitative differ- ences in the descriptions of the dissociative experiences of patients with and without a dissociative disorder. Clearly other mechanisms - for instance suggestibility or a tendency to aggravate symptoms - may have influenced the relatively high DES scores of these patients (see also Frankel, 1990). This asks for some caution in the interpretation of high DES scores, if no confirmatory diagnostic interviews are done. CONCLUSION The Dutch version of the Dissociative Experience Scale is a reliable and valid instrument to screen for dissociative pathology. It has a high diagnostic utility according to the results of ROC-analysis (AUC=.96). A cut-off score of 25 is optimal, yielding good to excellent sensitivity and specifici- ty. In spite of those optimistic results, the estimated positive predictive value of the DES for a random clinical sample is rather low (26%, 42% or 54%) due to the relatively low esti- mated base rate of dissociative disorders (5%, 10%, or 15% respectively). 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