CHARACTERIZING LANDSLIDE MOVEMENT AT THE BOULDER CREEK EARTHFLOW, NORTHERN CALIFORNIA, USING L-BAND INSAR by LAURA LYN STIMELY A THESIS Presented to the Department of Geological Sciences and the Graduate School of the University of Oregon in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Master of Science September 2009 11 "Characterizing Landslide Movement at the Boulder Creek Earthflow, Northern California, Using L-band InSAR," a thesis prepared by Laura Lyn Stimely in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the Master of Science degree in the Department of Geological Sciences. This thesis has been approved and accepted by: Committee 3 (- A~-I_-_2._o_0_9,----- _ Date Committee in Charge: Accepted by: Dr. Joshua J. Roering, Chair Dr. David A. Schmidt Dr. John M. Logan Dean of the Graduate School 111 An Abstract of the Thesis of Laura Lyn Stimely for the degree of Master of Science in the Department of Geological Sciences to be taken September 2009 Title: CHARACTERIZING LANDSLIDE MOVEMENT AT THE BOULDER CREEK EARTHFLOW, NORTHERN CALIFORJ~IA,USING L-BAND INSAR Approved: --/ Spatial and temporal patterns of movement of the Boulder Creek earthflow were investigated using 26 interferograms derived from ALOS satellite radar images acquired between February 2007 and February 2008. Persistently unstable hillslopes in Northern California are ideally suited to the study of the dynamics and morphological signature of earthflows, as the deeply sheared melange lithology, high seasonal rainfall, and fast uplift rates promote widespread deep-seated landsliding. In addition to identifying multiple active landslides in the region, L-band InSAR reveals varying defonnation rates in the accumulation, transport, and toe regions ofthe Boulder Creek earthflow. Downslope displacement rates up to 1.8 m/yr are observed on the earthflow over a I-year period. The pattern of defonnation is similar to that observed from 1944-2006 inferred from aerial photography. Interferograms highlight spatially variable rates controlled by lithology and gullies, and movement correlates with seasonal rainfall with a phase lag of~2 months. IV CURRICULUM VITAE NAME OF AUTHOR: Laura Lyn Stimely PLACE OF BIRTH: State College, Pennsylvania, USA DATE OF BIRTH: June 4, 1982 GRADUATE AND UNDERGRADUATE SCHOOLS ATTENDED: University of Oregon, Eugene, OR The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA DEGREES AWARDED: Master of Science, Geology, 2009, University of Oregon Bachelor of Science, Engineering Science & Mechanics, 2005, The Pennsylvania State University AREAS OF SPECIAL INTEREST: Geomorphology Satellite Interferometry PROFESSIONAL EXPERIENCE: Graduate Teaching Fellow, Department of Geological Sciences, University of Oregon, Eugene, OR, 2007-2009 Engineer, Bettis Atomic Power Laboratory, West Mifflin, PA, 2005-2007 Engineering Intern, Data Storage Institute, Singapore, 1/2005-7/2005 Technical Documentation Writer & Assistant, Minitab, Inc., State College, PA, 2000-2005 Geochemistry Laboratory Assistant, Materials Characterization Laboratory, Penn State University, 2000-2001 PUBLICATIONS: Roering J, Stimely L, Schmidt D, Mackey B (2009). Landslide movement and sediment production quantified with InSAR, airborne LiDAR, and archival air photos. Submitted to Geophysical Research Letters. v VI ACKNOWLEDGMENTS I give my most sincere thanks to Professors Josh Roering and David Schmidt for their valuable support in the prepration of this manuscript and for their generosity and insight throughout the research process. Josh and David have provided me a positive environment to mature as a scientist, I am forever indebted to them for the skills I have learned and the patience they have shown. I especially want to thank my third thesis committee member John Logan for his honesty and kindness. I also would like to thank my family and friends for all of their support both academically and emotionally. Vll TABLE OF CONTENTS Chapter Page I. INTRODUCTION 1 II. STUDY AREA AND GEOLOGIC SETTING 6 Geologic Setting......................... 6 Details of the Boulder Creek Earthflow......................................................... 7 III. DATA AND METHODS 12 Overview 12 InSAR Data Specifics.................................................................................... 13 Interferogram Formation................................................................................ 15 Unwrapping Errors and Decorrelation........................................................... 16 Stacking Interferograms....................................................................... 20 Atmospheric Artifacts..................................... 20 Projecting Line-of-Sight Deformation onto Landscape Surface 21 Time Series of Deformation.................................................. 23 IV. RESULTS 24 Overview. 24 Regional Landslide Evaluation & Individual Interferogram Observations... 24 Detailed Examination ofBoulder Creek Stacks 27 Downslope Velocity Projections.................................................................... 33 Seasonal Signal.............................................................................................. 36 V. DISCUSSION OF RESULTS 38 Overview.................. 38 Investigating the Spatial and Temporal Variations in Velocity 38 Investigating InSAR Line-of-sight Sensitivity 43 VI. SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS 50 V111 Chapter Page APPENDICES 53 A. LIST OF INTERFEROGRAMS USED 53 B. GLOSSARY OF TERMS 55 REFERENCES 56 IX LIST OF FIGURES Figure Page 1. Location of the Study Area 5 2. The Boulder Creek Earthflow 9 3. Tree Vectors 13 4. Location of ALOS Scenes 14 5. Example of Correction for Unwrapping Error 19 6. Azimuth and Dip of Downslope Earthflow Movement 22 7. Regional View Highlighting Five Earthflows Found in Path 223 25 8. Select Individual Interferograms 26 9. Stack ofInterferograms for Satellite Paths 223 and 224 29 10. Downslope Velocity Projections.................................................................... 35 11. February 2007 to February 2008 Time Series of Average Daily Velocities 37 CHAPTER I INTRODUCTION Landslides frequently occur in hilly and mountainous areas, both presenting a significant natural hazard and having profound effects on the landscape. Hillslopes adjust their shape via diffusion creep and mass wasting in response to external forces such as uplift, weathering, and climate change (e.g. Cmden and Varnes, 1996). Over geologic timescales slope angles adjust to incision and uplift rates. Uplift usually results in increased fluvial incision, which lowers base level and increases slope angles (Burbank and Anderson, 2001). Hillslopes adjust to oversteepening via mass wasting processes, which quickly removes material and reduces slope angles. Hillslopes have been observed to maintain slope angles up to a particular threshold. Burbank et al. (1996) argued for such a balance between uplift and erosion in the Himalayas where landsliding appears to prevent slopes from continuing to steepen as uplift and incision increase. The idea can be likened to a pile of sand, which can maintain slopes no steeper than its angle of repose. Oversteepening, by adding material near the top of the pile or removing material near the bottom, inevitably results in a landslide of material and relatively constant slopes. Landslide activity also varies on short timescales. Seasonal precipitation has been shown to playa large role in the activity of landslides (e.g. Keefer and Johnson, 1983; Iverson 2and Major, 1987). Increased displacements have been observed during El Nino years and winter storms have resulted in earthflow surges of up to tens of meters in a day (Calabro, 2008; Iverson & Major, 1987). By studying landslides over broad areas and timescales, we seek to decipher the signature of past and present landslides on the landscape and what forces drive these features. Detecting and monitoring landslide behavior tends to be highly site-specific and costly (Iverson & Major, 1987; Kelsey, 1978). Techniques such as leveling and GPS reveal valuable information about earthflow movement but may not be suitable to reveal detailed spatial heterogeneities and can only be maintained for a relatively limited period of time. Regional studies tend to be coarse, using data such as aerial photographs or digital elevation models to identify locations and timing of landslides (Hovius et aI., 1997; Hovius et aI., 2000; Fuller et aI., 2004). Quantifying the spatial and temporal patterns of movement at high spatial resolution and over a broad area will provide insight into what a landslide-dominated landscape can tell us about the interplay between hillslope evolution and tectonic and climate processes at work. Earthflows are among the most common mass-movement phenomena in nature. They are identified by round scarps, inflated toes, and by long narrow teardrop-shaped forms. Earthflows commonly display evidence of both fluid-like flow and rigid body translation. They occur in weak, fine-grained sediments. Earthflows often extend from ridge to channel and are typically found on relatively uniform slopes (Keefer and Johnson, 1983). The continuous and slow-moving nature of earthflows offers an excellent laboratory in which to study their short and long-term behavior and triggers. 3The primary data for this study is L-band Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (InSAR). InSAR is a powerful tool for measuring surface deformation over broad regions with sub-centimeter scale precision. In recent decades, InSAR has proven its capability to detect surface displacements caused by a variety of events such as earthquakes, ice sheet motion, volcanic activity, and subsidence (Massonnet et ai., 1993; Zebker et ai., 1994; Goldstein et ai., 1993; Massonnet et ai., 1995; Carnec et ai., 1996; Fruneau et ai., 1996). Despite some challenging environmental conditions (high vegetation density, steep topography, and high deformation rates) the capability of InSAR to detect landslide movements has also been demonstrated (Carnec et ai., 1996; Fruneau et ai., 1996; Rott et ai., 1999; Vietmeier et ai., 1999; Squarzoni et ai., 2003; Colesanti et ai., 2003; Farina et ai., 2004; Catani et ai., 2005). Early InSAR studies on landslides primarily used short repeat-cycle data, collected during the ERS commissioning phase in 1991 (3-day repeat cycles), or on TANDEM missions in 1995, 1996, 1997 and 1999 (I-day repeat cycles). More recent studies have utilized new processing techniques (e.g. Hilley et aI, 2004) or data from new satellite systems (e.g. Kimura et ai., 2000). Little InSAR data was available for this study due to the recent launch of the ALOS satellite. To date, there are no InSAR studies published about earthflows in the Eel River basin of Northern California. The Japanese Aerospace Exploration Agency (JAXA) launched their L-band SAR system in 2006. Prior to this the primary InSAR data available was from C-band systems that perform poorly in heavily vegetated regions. There have been other L-band satellites (such as JERS), but they had limited data 4availability. Hilley et al. (2004) was able to quantify movement of earthflows in the Berkeley vicinity of the eastern San Francisco Bay area with C-band data using an alternative processing method called PS (persistent scatterers) InSAR, which tracks persistently bright radar scatterers through time and can thus calculate displacement rates. Hilley's study took advantage of an urban setting containing many buildings with comers acting as persistent scatterers. This study uses L-band InSAR data to identify localized landslide movement over broad regions (~l 00 km) while also resolving fine details in the movement of individual slides. InSAR is used to survey landslide activity in the Eel River basin ofNorthern California (Figure I). Historical aerial photography data and high-resolution LiDAR topography are used to assist in the analyses and interpretation of movements at Boulder Creek. Among the various signals detected, I specifically constrain surface deformation at the Boulder Creek earthflow between February 2007 and February 2008. Boulder Creek was chosen for the study because it is optimally oriented with respect to the look direction of the satellite and exhibits measurable amounts of movement throughout the year. Displacement rates are shown to be associated with seasonal variations in rainfall. I will use these results to examine relationships between slope movement and topographic, fluvial, and lithologic properties. This in turn will help address broader questions regarding the mechanics of earthflows and the timescales on which they are active. 5A 20 km Figure 1. Location of the study area - nOlihern California. The Eel and Van Duzen Rivers are drawn in blue. The Boulder Creek eatihflow is labeled with the red star. 6CHAPTER II STUDY AREA AND GEOLOGIC SETTING Geologic Setting Persistently unstable hillslopes of the California Coast Ranges contain many active and ancient earthflows of varying sizes. The regional bedrock of the coast range is Franciscan melange, a late Jurassic and Cretaceous age clay-rich rock unit consisting of highly sheared sandstones and siltstones in which are dispersed blocks and boulders of greenstone, chert, schist, and serpentine (Kelsey, 1978). The rocks are interpreted to represent a Mesozoic to Cenozoic aged accretionary wedge that has been uplifted and exhumed. Recent uplift (~1 mm/yr) over the past 5 Ma is driven by the migration of the Mendocino Triple Junction (Furlong and Schwartz, 2004). The coast range of Northwestern California has a Mediterranean climate and an average annual rainfall of 0.8 m, 80% of which falls between October and April. Vegetation cover is locally variable as most slopes feature large grassland prairies separating patchy oak, madrone, and conifer forests. The highly sheared bedrock, rapid uplift, and bimodal precipitation pattern favor large landslide initiation. Both active and ancient earthflows comprise roughly 10% of this melange area (Kelsey, 1978). The 7Boulder Creek earthflow is located along the main stem of the Eel River, approximately 60 miles southeast of Eureka, California (Figure 1). Details ofthe Boulder Creek Earthflow It is important to understand the surface morphology and expected movement styles when interpreting deformation measured from space. The Boulder Creek earthflow is a large landslide complex that appears to be deforming by multiple processes, including block gliding, slumping, and viscous flow (Kelsey, 1978). No geotechnical or hydrologic data has been published for this site. Therefore, information such as depth to the water table and depth to a basal shear plane are not known. Mackey (personal communication) has used orthorectified aerial photographs to examine decadal movement rates at Boulder Creek. This data will be used to complement the InSAR observations. To date this appears to be the only published work that has been done at the Boulder Creek earthflow. Anomalously large for earthflows in the region, the ~3 km2 Boulder Creek earthflow is as large as the drainages of neighboring tributaries (Figure 2). It exhibits classic earthflow morphology as described in Keefer and Johnson (1983), extending from channel to ridge with a bowl-shaped accumulation zone, narrow transport zone, and bulbous toe. It is 5 km in length from the top of the accumulation zone to the bottom of the toe along the Eel River. At its widest, the accumulation zone is 3 km across. The transport zone is almost 2 km long and consistently 0.5 km wide. The toe is 1 km long and 0.75 km wide. The downslope gradient in the transport zone is oriented 2400 (east- of-north). The accumulation zone exhibits a wide range of slopes and downslope orientations due to its bowl-shaped structure. 8 9Figure 2. The Boulder Creek earthflow. Fig. 2a) Aerial photograph of the Boulder Creek earthflow. Fig. 2b) LiDAR shaded relief image of the Boulder Creek earthflow. 10 A prominent lithologic boundary within the earthflow appears to playa dominant role in the spatial distribution of movement. The boundary cuts obliquely across the slide (NW-SE) near the top of the transport zone (Figure 2). Above this contour there is a relatively flat bench-like region which marks the top of the transport zone. Below this line the slope becomes oversteepened (23°) for a short distance before adjusting to the slope angle of the rest of the transport zone. This strip of more resistant bedrock can be seen extending beyond the extent of Boulder Creek when looking at the bare shaded relief map created by LiDAR data in Figure 2. Gullies have been interpreted to be a key component of sediment removal on the surface of earthflows (Kelsey, 1978; Harvey, 2001, see references therein). Boulder Creek follows the classic earthflow model in this regard with one prominent longitudinal gully extending the entire length of the transport zone as well as several smaller gullies throughout the transport and accumulation zones. LiDAR records the "central" gully to be as deep as 10 meters in places. Several smaller gullies have developed in the southern half of the transport zone, but very few in the northern half. There is also a significant gully that appears to mark the northern shear margin of the transport zone. All of these gullies deflect around the toe rather than cut through it before reaching the Eel River (Figure 2). Earthflows extending from channel to ridge are often strongly coupled to the channel. Sometimes earthflows move when the river erodes material at the toe, essentially removing the earthflows natural buttressing (Keefer and Johnson, 1983). At other times the earthflow encroaches on, dams, or permanently pushes the river to a new location. From observations of the shape of the river, the Boulder Creek earthflow appears to have pushed the Eel River a few hundred meters to the west. Boulder Creek resides on an outside bend of the river. This is a common location for slope instabilities due to high fluvial shear stresses on the channel margins, which can instigate bank instabilities. 11 12 CHAPTER III DATA AND METHODS Overview To constrain the spatial patterns and magnitudes of movement at the Boulder Creek earthflow, I use synthetic aperture radar data from the ALOS satellite supplemented with decadal-scale historical rates derived from orthorectified aerial photographs and LiDAR data. InSAR data provides detailed information on the spatial distribution of movement over one year. Decadal-scale Boulder Creek movement is tracked using an orthorectified aerial photograph taken in 1944 and LiDAR flown in October 2006 (Mackey, personal cornrnuncation). The positions of 259 trees growing on the earthflow surface were tracked over this 62 year period to create vectors of horizontal movement. These vectors (referred to as "tree vectors") represent a historical record of magnitude and direction of Boulder Creek earthflow movement (Mackey, personal communcation). High-resolution (~1 m) topography from LiDAR data also contributes a map of terrain slope and allows for a detailed investigation of the relationships between velocity and surficial features (Figure 3). 13 Figure 3. Tree vectors representing average yearly rates of individual trees on the surface of the Boulder Creek eatihflow, tracked from 1944 through 2006. Active lobes in the accumulation zone are labeled. InSAR Data Specifics The ALaS satellite was launched by the Japanese Space Agency in 2006. Boulder Creek lies within the overlapping region covered by ascending satellite paths 223 and 224. The satellite line-of-sight (LOS) heading is 075° (east-of-north) with a look angle of 34.3° downward. For both paths, Boulder Creek lies within Frame 790 (Figure 4). Data are collected over the region approximately every 1.5 months. For path 223, 5 synthetic aperture radar scenes were used to make 9 interferograms spanning from March 14, 2007 to September 14,2007. For path 224,8 scenes were used to make 17 interferograms 14 spanning from February 13,2007 through February 16,2008 (Table 1). The availability of data for this study was limited to a short window of time due to the recent launch of the satellite. ERS data was also examined, but proved incoherent over the field area. A c 20 km u , o Figure 4. Location of ALOS paths 223 and 224. The Boulder Creek earthflow is located in the overlapping region of the two tracks and labeled with a red star. 15 Interferogram Formation To create an interferogram, a satellite reflects radio waves off of the earth's surface at two separate times, recording the amplitude and phase of the returning signal each time. The reflected chirps are then projected back to the individual scatters on the ground, using the Doppler shift and two-way travel time to produce a single-look complex image for each satellite pass. The two complex synthetic aperture radar (SAR) images are interfered by multiplying the first by the complex conjugate of the second (Massonnett et aI., 1995). The resulting phase shift indicates the distance the surface scatterers have moved toward or away from the satellite as well as the surface height from a reference ellipsoid. By removing the topographic signal in the phase using a DEM, the surface deformation is isolated. The final step in creating an interferogram is unwrapping, which involves transforming the repeated 2:rt cycles of deformation into a cumulative amount of deformation. Every 2:rt cycle of deformation represents 11.8 cm of line-of-sight (LOS) deformation for the ALaS satellite (Massonnet and Feigl, 1998). For this study, I processed the SAR data using the ROI_PAC (Repeat Orbit Interferometry Package) software suite developed at JPLlCaltech (Rosen et aI., 2004). Raw ALaS SAR data is first converted to single look complex (SLC) images. A I-arc second (30 m resolution) digital elevation model (DEM) collected during the Shuttle Remote Topography Mission (SRTM) is used to remove the topographic component from the phase and then the SLCs are interfered. Interferograms were processed at the standard 4-100ks resolution with standard processing parameters. The displacement field obtained from my InSAR analysis continuously covers an area approximately 70x70 km2 16 with a pixel resolution of~30 meters. Line-of-sight displacement values are precise to the sub-centimeter scale. Unwrapping Errors and Decorrelation Phase decorrelation occurs in areas where the phase in neighboring pixels is not spatially correlated. Decorrelation is caused by low coherence, which can be quantified using the following expression: < CIC * 2>Y= ----;======= -J (1) where Cj is the complex phase measurement for scene i, c* is the complex conjugate, and the brackets < > represent ensemble averaging. Generally, pixels of low yare disregarded in the analysis because they do not show quantifiable evidence of deformation. Here, the decorrelated patches are used to infer locations of rapid ground movement. Decorrelation can be caused by a number of phenomena. Anything that causes the phase to appear random or speckled, such as a change in the properties of the surface scatterers will create an incoherent patch. If the phase change across a single pixel is 2Jt or more, the interferometric signal also decorrelates. This can be due to steep topography, differential surface motion, or large antenna baseline (Blirgmann et aI., 2000). Baseline decorrelation occurs when the satellite path for the two passes is sufficiently far apart that the orientation of the LOS look vector differs, rendering the technique's ability to detect surface deformation infeasible. All but two interferograms with a perpendicular baseline of more than 1 kilometer were not used in this study because of baseline decorrelation. 17 The exceptions to this baseline threshold exhibited complete coherence and fully captured the landslide signal over Boulder Creek. Two problems were discovered during data processing. The first issue regarded the power spectral filter, which is used to remove high frequency noise from the interferograms. It was found to be dampening the landslide signal. Reducing this filter strength from the default value of 0.75 to 0.30 for most interferograms proved to preserve more of the signal during unwrapping while also minimizing the random phase speckle. The second problem was an unwrapping error I eventually attributed to very steep deformation gradients at the margins of the transport zone. This processing error reduced and in some cases entirely removed the signal due to landslide motion at Boulder Creek but did not result in any decorrelation. By manually adjusting parameters and utilizing additional ROI PAC tools, I was able to correct the error. The error consistently occurred in a fast moving region of the transport zone. The ROI PAC scripts that unwrap the 2n cycling of the phase failed to properly integrate the phase in the areas with high displacement gradients. I discovered the problem by seeing unexpected jumps in the range change (Figure 5a). Where deformation was expected to increase (in the heart of the transport zone), it instead decreased dramatically and then resumed the expected pattern of deformation (as determined by "good" interferograms). This unwrapping error occurred in four interferograms from path 223 and six interferograms from path 224 (Table 1). The solution for this error was to manually set the phase jump across this shear boundary. The problematic region was isolated by constructing a mask and the number of 18 2n: phase cycles was manually assigned. The BRIDGE function within ROlPAC was used to unwrap the region with the added cycles of deformation. The spatial extent of the region needing repair and the number of cycles to add was determined by examining pairs of short-term interferograms (with no unwrapping errors) that together span the same duration as the interferogram exhibiting unwrapping errors. The sum of the deformation from the two short-term interferograms should equal the deformation from the long interferogram. By comparing where the deformation does not correspond, the spatial extent and magnitude of unwrapping errors can be determined. (Figure 5b). 19 a) (1) May 16 ~ Jull + (2) Jull - Aug 16 A Unexpecl d ! b) = 05/16 - 08/16 bridged A' Le end Gl!ner.J1 d ·lerm.Hien trE'tld f.,J IlhJ~tr.l1 !J (1)'12) pt-rt del mUll nldr I "yIG" ",If, 3.5 A 1.5 -0.5 -2.5 -4.5 -65 Amr)u t f l'ima!th -.~, f.J..d·ln~ A' Figure 5. Example of correction for unwrapping error due to large deformation gradients in the transport zone. Fig. 5a) Two short-term interferograms, May 16 - July 1 and July 1 ­ August 16 (both of which do not contain the error). The total deformation over these two intervals should be equivalent to the amount of deformation in the long interferogram spanning the total duration, May 16 - August 16. Grey areas indicate where phase is decorre1ated. Profiles from A to A' of displacement (in radians) for each interferogram are shown below each interferogram. The dashed black line indicates the expected trend of deformation (smooth acceleration (more negative) towards the center of the transport zone and slowing down as the edges are approached). Interferograms (1) and (2) show an expected profile of deformation. Note the unexpected phase jump in the long interferogram, altering the profile and highlighting the unwrapping error. Fig. 5b) The corrected interferogram for May 16 - August 16 is plotted after manual bridging is performed. The corrected profile is shown (in red) along with the uncorrected (green) and the expected (sum of (1) and (2)) (in blue). 20 Stacking Interferograms By stacking multiple interferograms, I determine the average LOS rate of deformation over a given period of time. This method reduces noise and emphasizes features that are most consistent though time. Stacking also highlights areas with small amounts of deformation that may not be resolved using single interferograms. Stacking consists of removing the mean phase value from each interferogram. Then, pixel-by- pixel, the range change is summed and divided by the total duration of all the interferograms. For the ith pixel: n ~ cpn,i : bO 1'0 -0 -}I'; E Ll) c: 0 ;0 'S:; 19 .:iL! 'Q. U J'. Q.J a. N 2=' 'ro Ie 0 " '-- T_Jl_IJ_1_'V_no_\\' 010< IC',J1ge'Jled 10.) -l)J I '"1IJI. I c: Q.JE (In Q.J U ~ Il a. VI "0 01 ~ ~hd,.: b~Cln '" ~hllsifH It 211"Jlllhl !>: I'1'0 -0 - 1 IE E - IIIQ.J .... 1'0 ~ Figure 11. February 2007 to February 2008 time series of average daily velocities for three regions of the Boulder Creek earthflow. Daily rainfall collected at the Zenia meteorological station, approximately 15km north of Boulder Creek, is plotted in blue. The red diamonds represent movement in the transport zone. Green diamonds represent a location in the tributary flow and yellow diamonds represent movement at the margin of the toe. 38 CHAPTER V DISCUSSION OF RESULTS Overview In the previous chapter, I analyzed ALOS satellite data in conjunction with historical movement rates and LiDAR data in an effort to constrain spatial and temporal patterns of movement at the Boulder Creek earthflow. In this chapter, I discuss the implications of interpreting landslide movement measured in the satellite LOS as well as how patterns of surface movement through space and time relate to earthflow morphology and dynamics. Investigating the Spatial and Temporal Variations in Velocity The downslope velocity projections represent earthflow movement averaged over one year, from February 13,2007 to February 16,2008. While the projections are estimates of downslope velocities and do not consider synchronous vertical signals (such as uplift or subsidence of the surface), they provide a first order map of where and how much the earthflow is moving over one year. The following sections first discuss the spatial variability of velocities averaged over one year and then the temporal variability within that year. The spatial variability highlights connections between lithology and 39 gullies and surface movement. Temporal variability highlights seasonal patterns of movement that correlate with rainfall. The spatial variability of downslope velocities determined from the InSAR data highlight distinct zones of activity within the earthflow. Movement is predominantly occurring in the transport zone with minimal activity seen in the accumulation zone and toe regions. Between this "hot spot" of activity and the Eel River is a relatively inactive toe, prompting the question of what is driving movement. It is often speculated that earthflow movement is driven by erosion at the toe by the channel below. The inactive toe of Boulder Creek indicates that stresses are not being transmitted upslope from the Eel River. Further, the slump at the toe margin does not appear to have any effect upslope. From examining the LiDAR, it appears possible that the earthflow is driven from above by material collected in the accumulation zone and funneled into the transport zone. A lobe of material can be seen approaching the sharp break in slope near the top of the transport zone. I interpret this to suggest a more episodic supply of material to the transport zone; when enough material collects it forms lobes with enough force from above to advance over the flat bench top and enter the transport zone conveyor belt. With an inactive toe, gullies appear to be the primary mechanism connecting the channel to the transport zone. Several deep gullies «15 m) dissect the fastest regions of the transport zone. Downslope, the gullies coalesce and wrap around both sides of the toe before merging with the Eel River. It is also notable that the gullies are absent from the slow regions of the transport zone (the northern half). This suggests that the locations 40 of gullies can be associated with regions of activity and that gullies playa large role in the removal of sediment from the earthflow. Erosion from gullies has been found to be a significant contributor for sediment flux in channels over short and long term (Harvey, 200 I; Betts et aI., 2003). In addition to the accumulation zone, a smaller amount of material enters the transport zone from the tributary earthflow. This region, too, abuts the locked toe region and again gullies appear to be responsible for transporting that material off the earthflow. A deep gully forms immediately downslope from where the tributary flow enters the transport zone, again implying a direct relationship between gullies and regions of activity and sediment removal. The rapid increase in velocity after the sharp break in slope near the top of the transport zone provides insight into the depth and shape of the Boulder Creek earthflow. This velocity increase is most likely due to the lithologic boundary discussed in Chapter 4. Above this boundary the surface is relatively flat and immediately below it the surface dips steeply, up to 23 0 , for ~100 meters before leveling out to the average transport zone dip of~14o. Because of the broad extent and sharp linearity of the feature, this lithologic boundary is likely to have persisted through much of Boulder Creek's history and appears to largely control the location of the top of the transport zone. Cae et al. (2008) determined that when landslides have moved distances larger than the dimensions of the largest basal topographic irregularities, landslide surface morphology can be used as a guide to the morphology of the basal slip surface. Due to its large size and significant amounts of deformation over historic timescales (~150 meters in 64 years according to 41 tree vectors), I assume that such an argument about surface morphology mimicking a basal slip surface is relevant for Boulder Creek, at least locally in the upper reaches of the transport zone. The prominent knickpoint suggests that bedrock is close to the surface at that location, which would mean that the earthflow is quite thin there. Transport zone thickness cannot be determined, however, fast-moving flows are often less thick than slower ones of the same surface area in order to balance the amount of material entering and leaving the region. This suggests a gradual thickening just below the knickpoint to some thickness which is most likely maintained along the transport zone. Individual interferograms of Boulder Creek provide information on seasonal variations in rates and styles of movement. Interferograms spanning summer months show continuous data coverage and lower rates than winter months (Figure 8a & b). Small patches of decorrelation in interferograms spanning winter months are attributed to large amounts of deformation or internal deformation (Figure 8c & d) (Calabro, 2008). Because of the high precipitation in the winter, this is when the earthflow is expected to move most rapidly. Decorrelation patches occur in regions where the most activity is expected: over gullies in the transport zone. The time series of range change explores the relationship between precipitation and slide movement. Despite the drastic spatial variability in velocities, the time series highlights a similar temporal pattern across the slide which correlates strongly with seasonal rainfall patterns. Figure 11 plots average LOS velocities (mm/day) at different locations on the earthflow along with daily rainfall data collected by the California Department of Water Resources at the Zenia meteorological station, approximately 15 42 kIn north of the study site (Figure 1). While the magnitudes of the rates are not directly applicable because they are in the LOS and not downslope, the relative change provides insight into seasonal patterns. To the first order, it can be seen that as the rains begin in October 2007, the earthflow is still decelerating. However, about 2 months later, at the beginning of January, the earthflow begins to accelerate. I interpret this to be a delayed response to rainfall, which would suggest that the Boulder Creek earthflow is hydrologically driven. As the water table rises, pore pressures and sliding velocities increase. When the water table lowers, pore pressures and sliding velocities decrease (Ehlig, 1992). Iverson (2000) describes the relationship between sliding rate and time since rainfall onset. The diffusion of pore pressure through the slide decreases the normal force and frictional resistance, thereby allowing the slide to accelerate. As pore pressure diffuses through the slide there is a lag between the onset of rainfall and the acceleration of the slide. The relatively long lag time of ~2 months could indicate low diffusivity for the earthflow, perhaps caused by the clay-rich material or a deep basal shear zone (Keefer and Johnson, 1983. Despite being much larger than most documented earthflows in the region, Boulder Creek appears to be similar in its rates and styles of movement. Velocities in the transport zone of Boulder Creek approach a yearly average of 2 m/yr. Elsewhere on the slide velocities range from 0 - 1 m/yr. Earthflow velocities at other field sites have been observed to range from 0.5 m/yr to 6 m/yr with occasional surges of tens of meters in a matter of days. The Minor Creek earthflow in northwestern California was monitored from 1982 to 1985 (Iverson and Major, 1987). This 800 meter-long eartht10w has a 43 summer creep rate of 1-4 mm/yr and accelerates up to 0.5 m/yr in the winter. Acceleration into winter rates occurred between November and March depending on the year. Rapid movement persisted into Mayor June. The inconsistent delays between onset of seasonal rainfall and onset of rapid movement at different field sites highlight the episodic nature of earthflow movement. Hilley et at. (2004) observed a lag of ~3 weeks for earthflows in the East Bay Hills region near San Francisco, California. These earthflows are ~1 km long and move 27-38 mm/yr downslope, as inferred from InSAR range change. The Portuguese Bend landslide (~1 km2) on the Palos Verdes peninsula near Los Angeles, California, shows a lag of approximately 1 month. Due to extensive monitoring, the depth of this earthflow is known to be 18 meters on average (Calabro, 2008). The fact that rates and styles of deformation observed at Boulder Creek are consistent with other earthflows in the area suggests that L-band InSAR can successfully characterize and quantify landslide-related deformation. Investigating InSAR Line-aI-sight sensitivity The previous sections and Figure 7 highlight the power ofL-band InSAR to identify and quantify earthflows in the vegetated terrain ofNorthern California. Prior to the introduction of this broad remote sensing tool, earthflows were found and studied on a case-by-case basis. Five large earthflows were identified using InSAR in this study, thus providing a "snapshot" of real-time regional earthflow activity in the Eel River basin. An understanding of the limitations that come with measuring deformation using a single look direction is important, but even one component of deformation is enough to 44 highlight areas of interest and infer relationships between surface deformation and earthflow morphology and dynamics. There are a number of limitations that must be considered when interpreting InSAR data. The largest error source comes from atmospheric artifacts. Other than the possible fog signal at the base of the earthflow, no significant atmospheric artifacts appear to be present in any interferograms. Limited temporal sampling, the inability to see a signal in long-duration interferograms because of high rates, and no descending data are additional limitations of this study. Temporal sampling is, on average, every 46 days for this dataset, which is the best that can be attained for the ALaS satellite orbit. InSAR's sensitivity to the orientation of deformation is highlighted in this study. Deformation orthogonal to the LOS will go undetected because the interferometric analysis is insensitive to motion in this direction. The transport zone of Boulder Creek is optimally oriented for imaging by an ascending InSAR satellite because surface motion is heading nearly sub-parallel to the satellite look direction. The accumulation zone, on the other hand, exhibits greater variability in the orientation of surface movement, and the regions where the expected movement is orthogonal to the LOS show no signal in the interferograms. The toe region is extremely smooth and the direction of motion is generally in-line with the transport zone, making it another optimal region for InSAR imaging. The following sections compare ascending InSAR data (Figure 9) to horizontal rates derived from aerial photography to investigate what parameters (i.e. deformation orientation, surface roughness) are most important or limiting when interpreting earthflow movement using InSAR. 45 While the average LOS rates represent only one component of the total movement of the Boulder Creek earthflow, they do provide a sufficient level of detail with which InSAR can resolve landslide-related deformation. Tree vectors could only be created where trees persist on the earthflow through time. As seen in figure 3, tree vector coverage is relatively dense across the earthflow, highlighting specific and interesting regions of activity such as viscous-flow characteristics in the southern half of the transport zone and oblique movement near the northern margin of the transport zone. Tree vectors are absent from the tributary flow, where no trees were able to be tracked. Despite a lack of trees, boulders and shrubs could be seen moving downslope through time indicating activity of this feature (Mackey, personal communication). In the following sections I compare spatial patterns of movement detected by InSAR and the tree vectors. The extraordinary detail that can be seen in the transport zone highlights why Boulder Creek was chosen to be the subject of this study. The movement in this region is heading nearly sub-parallel to the satellite look direction, resulting in the satellite detecting as much movement as possible. While the other earthflows identified in this study also demonstrate internal displacement gradients, the large size of the transport zone of Boulder Creek combined with its optimal orientation provide the best resolution with which to study earthflow movement. Prominent displacement gradients appear consistently in all of the individual interferograms highlighting the steady pattern of movement. The margins of movement seen by the satellite coincide well with the interpreted geomorphic boundaries of the slide. Similar to what is seen at Boulder Creek, 46 the transport zones at the Kekawaka and Halloween earthflows (see Figure 1; Halloween Earthflow along the Van Duzen River) also show a similar style of deformation where material moves as a coherent unit downslope (Mackey et aI., 2009; Kelsey 1978). This styIe of continuous deformation is ideal for detection by InSAR because of the small amounts of internal rotation and shear that could otherwise result in too much change in the surface scatterers and cause decorrelation. Limitations in resolving deformation that is oblique to the LOS is more apparent in the accumulation zone. This bowl-shaped collection zone takes material from near the ridges where gradients are higher, and funnels the material downslope and inward towards the top ofthe transport zone. Tree vectors indicate three discrete active lobes of material moving downslope from prominent headscarps towards the transport zone: a central lobe moving relatively parallel to the transport zone and a lobe on either side (referred to as the "north" lobe and the "south" lobe), each approximately 30° off the central lobe heading (Figure 3). The InSAR data captures distinct movement of ~0.13 m1yr (LOS) in the central lobe that nicely agrees with the location of tree vectors, which record horizontal rates of 1-2 m/yr. The north and south lobes, however, appear to be inactive according to the InSAR data, but very active according to the tree vectors. Tree vectors indicate that the north lobe is the most active of the three with horizontal rates ranging from 0.5 to 1.5 m/yr. I attribute the difference between agreement in the central lobe and disagreement in the north and south lobes to InSAR's dependence on the orientation of deformation relative to the LOS look direction. Deformation in the central 47 lobe is optimally oriented with respect to the satellite while the north and south lobes are approaching orthogonality to the LOS. I assume discontinuous deformation to be another challenging parameter when landslide-related movement in the accumulation zone. Deformation styles commonly observed in collection zones of earthflows, slump blocks, rotation, tension cracks, and crumbling, result in small-scale surface roughness. Rapid movement and small-scale rotations from crumbling and rolling material is expected to cause decorrelation in the interferograms. While the magnitude of LOS deformation is negligible for the north and south lobes, there remains a spatially extensive coherent signal across the region. The fact that there is always a coherent signal across the accumulation zone indicates that deformation is either not occurring or, in the central lobe at least, occurring in a continuous fashion. This is corroborated by the tree vectors, which highlight continuous movement in all three lobes. Thus, it appears that the complex surface morphology is not an impediment to using InSAR in this locality. Spatial averaging during processing and continuous flow-like motion in the area provides coherent data cross the zone. As discussed in Chapter 4, an interesting phase signal resides at the steep margin of the toe along the Eel River. This localized signal (~200xI00 meters) must be interpreted with caution because of the possible water vapor contribution to the phase. A signal attributed to fog does not appear in every interferogram but it does appear in both stacks, indicating that it is a persistent signal. While the magnitude of the signal may be questionable, the location of the signal proves that it can be attributed to landslide-related motion. Not only is the signal unique to a small section of the margin, but the LiDAR 48 data highlights a fresh arcuate shape in the same location as the InSAR signal. Were the signal to be due solely to fog, it would extend across the entire margin (Figure 8e & f). While LOS displacement rates in the transport and accumulation zones are assumed to be primarily horizontal, I assume the slump signal to be predominantly vertical. A rotational slump would likely result in the surface moving downward. Because the majority of the toe is not moving at all, horizontally or vertically, as indicated by InSAR and the tree vectors, it is unlikely that the signal of interest would be moving horizontally. This assumption holds when considering the expected direction of range change for downward vertical motion. Positive range change indicates that the surface is moving away from the satellite. This can be interpreted as downslope surface-parallel movement or subsidence/deflation of the toe margin. The range change observed for the toe slump, however, is negative. This indicates some form of uplift. Folding and multiple shear surfaces due to compression from upslope could result in uplift of the toe margin. Further investigation of this feature is necessary, however, to validate the signal. It is also possible that fog has affected the signal. The magnitude of the signal may have been corrupted by contributions from water vapor and is therefore not directly applicable. I assume the fog to behave as a volumetric scatterer of the satellite signal. Properties of the fog that could affect the phase signal, such as thickness, density, and mere presence, can vary from day to day. The calculated phase change along the river could be reflecting changes in the fog parameters rather than changes in the surface. The time series discussion later in this chapter, however, highlights a seasonal variation in displacement for this feature that is identical to patterns elsewhere on the slide. While this also is an argument for the validity of the signal, it does not necessarily defend the magnitudes. Further investigation would be required to gain confidence in this result. 49 50 CHAPTER VI SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS This study of the Boulder Creek earthflow has incorporated InSAR, aerial photo analysis, and LiDAR in an attempt to monitor the slide and better understand its dynamics. Two-pass L-band satellite interferometry is used to determine deformation rates during the summer months of 2007. The downslope velocity values range from 0.5 to 1.5 m/yr in the transport zone and ~0.3 m/yr elsewhere. A comparison is made between these results and horizontal rates derived from orthorectified aerial photographs and LiDAR spanning 1944-2006. Tree vectors for this region measure 2.0 to 2.5 m/yr in the transport zone and ~0.5 m/yr elsewhere. Tree vector rates are consistently ~2 times larger than the InSAR-derived summer rates. Because tree vector rates represent yearly averages, which include accelerated winter movement, and InSAR rates are for the summer only, these results are in agreement. My results highlight the ability of L-band InSAR to identify and quantify earthflow activity in higWy-vegetated terrain. Five large earthflows (including Boulder Creek) are identified in one frame, providing a snapshot of earthflow activity for a 70km x 70 km region. Within the borders of the Boulder Creek earthflow, InSAR images spatial heterogeneities of movement at high spatial resolution (30m x 30m). The most 51 displacement occurs in the transport zone with less activity seen in the accumulation and toe regions. Within the transport zone, the regions of highest displacements are seen to correlate with the regions of highest gully density, suggesting that gullies either form in response to or are the cause of increased surface movement. If they are the cause of movement, is movement only happening as deep as the gully thalwegs? Perhaps this creates a positive feedback loop where the gullies remove enough material to lessen the normal load on the basal shear plane and accelerate movement of the whole unit. If gully incision is a response to movement, then perhaps the activity breaks up the surface and encourages channel formation, which would then continue to assist in moving material. A sharp break in slope attributed to a lithologic boundary appears to dictate the start of the high displacements of the transport zone. The time series inversion for path 224 interferograms displays variations in LOS rates between February, 2007 and February, 2008. All regions of the slide show a significant deceleration from March 2007 through December 2007 before beginning to accelerate in January 2008, approximately 2 months after the winter rains began. This relatively long phase lag between the onset of rain and the onset of increased earthflow activity could help to constrain physical parameters of the slide such as diffusivity and depth to a basal shear zone. This study examined limitations to the interpretation ofInSAR results derived from a single look vector. InSAR is shown to be sensitive to the orientation of the deformation such that significant amounts of deformation go unseen if moving orthogonal to the satellite line-of-sight. Such is the case in the accumulation zone of the Boulder Creek earthflow, where only one of three lobes of activity observed by the tree vectors is observed by InSAR. The study of the Boulder Creek earthflow could be furthered by traditional site­ specific methods such as surveying, boreholes, and stake lines as well as GPS and additional InSAR data. This would expand temporal data coverage, constrain vertical signals, verify the spatial extent of movement in the accumulation zone, constrain the large winter rates in the transport zone which InSAR could not, and investigate the toe margin "uplift" signal. 52 APPENDIX A LIST OF INTERFEROGRAMS USED 53 Path Starting Scene Ending Scene Baseline (m) Bridge required? 223 2007 March 14 2007 April 29 -571 223 2007 March 14 2007 June 14 -139 Yes 223 2007 March 14 2007 September 14 -878 Yes 223 2007 April 29 2007 June 14 431 223 2007 April 29 2007 July 30 62 Yes 223 2007 April 29 2007 September 14 -333 Yes 223 2007 June 14 2007 July 30 -369 223 2007 June 14 2007 September 14 -765 Yes 223 2007 July 30 2007 September 14 -395 224 2007 February 13 2007 May 16 -670 Yes 224 2007 February 13 2007 July 1 -775 224 2007 May 16 2007 July 1 3140 224 2007 May 16 2007 August 16 -290 Yes 224 2007 May 16 2007 October 1 -747 Yes 224 2007 July 1 2007 August 16 -277 224 2007 July 1 2007 October 1 -640 224 2007 July 1 2007 November 16 -810 Yes 224 2007 July 1 2008 January 1 -916 224 2007 August 16 2007 October 1 -455 224 2007 August 16 2007 November 16 -620 224 2007 August 16 2008 January 1 -730 Yes 224 2007 October 1 2007 November 16 -170 224 2007 October 1 2008 January 1 -275 224 2007 November 16 2008 January 1 -105 224 2007 November 16 2008 February 16 -1065 Yes 224 2008 January 1 2008 February 16 -960 54 APPENDIXB GLOSSARY OF TERMS 55 ALaS: Advanced land observation satellite ERS: European Remote Sensing satellites GPS: Global Positioning System InSAR: Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar JAXA: Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency JERS: Japanese Earth Resources Satellite LiDAR: Light Detection And Ranging LOS: Line of Sight SAR: Synthetic Aperture Radar 56 57 REFERENCES Betts, H.D., Trustrum, N.A., and De Rose, R.C. 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