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dc.contributor.authorSheehan, Timothy J.
dc.date.accessioned2012-04-20T01:21:54Z
dc.date.available2012-04-20T01:21:54Z
dc.date.issued2011-12
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/1794/12184
dc.descriptionxii, 127 p. : ill. (some col.)en_US
dc.description.abstractI developed software to incorporate the FlamMap fire model into an agent-based model, Envision, to enable the exploration of relationships between wildfire, land use, climate change, and vegetation dynamics in the Willamette Valley. A dynamic-link library plug-in utilizing row-ordered compressed array lookup tables converts parameters between polygon-based Envision data and grid-based FlamMap data. Modeled fires are determined through Monte-Carlo draws against a set of possible fires by linking historic fire data to future climate projections. I used classification and regression tree (CART) and logistic regression to relate ignitions to human and land use factors in the Willamette Valley above the valley floor from 2000-2009. Both methods showed decreasing distance to major and minor roads as key factors that increase ignition probability for human ignitions but not for lightning ignitions. The resulting statistical model is implemented in the FlamMap plug-in to provide a dynamic ignition probability map over time.en_US
dc.description.sponsorshipCommittee in charge: Dr. Bart Johnson, Co-Chair; Dr. Scott Bridgham ,Co-Chair; Dr. John Bolte; Memberen_US
dc.language.isoen_USen_US
dc.publisherUniversity of Oregonen_US
dc.relation.ispartofseriesUniversity of Oregon theses, Dept. of Biology, M.S, 2011;
dc.rightsrights_reserveden_US
dc.subjectEcologyen_US
dc.subjectNatural resources -- Managementen_US
dc.subjectComputer scienceen_US
dc.subjectHealth and environmental sciencesen_US
dc.subjectApplied scienceen_US
dc.subjectBiological sciencesen_US
dc.subjectIgnitionsen_US
dc.subjectLightningen_US
dc.subjectWillamette Valleyen_US
dc.subjectWillamette River Valley (Or.)en_US
dc.titleModeling Wildfire and Ignitions for Climate Change and Alternative Land Management Scenarios in the Willamette Valley, Oregonen_US
dc.typeThesisen_US


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