Recent Submissions

  • The rising share of nonmarital births: A response to Ermisch, Martin, and Wu 

    Gray, Jo Anna; Stockard, Jean; Stone, Joe A. (Joe Allan), 1948- (University of Oregon, Dept of Economics, 2008-09)
  • Race Differences in Cohort Effects on Nonmarital Fertility in the United States 

    Stone, Joe A. (Joe Allan), 1948-; Gray, Jo Anna; Stockard, Jean; O'Brien, Robert (University of Oregon, Dept of Economics, 2008-01)
    We employ newly developed methods to disentangle age, period and cohort effects on nonmarital fertility ratios (NFRs) from 1972 to 2002 for black and white women aged 20-44 in the United States. We focus on three cohort ...
  • The rising share of nonmarital births: A response to Ermisch, Martin, and Wu 

    Stone, Joe A. (Joe Allan), 1948-; Stockard, Jean; Gray, Jo Anna (University of Oregon, Dept of Economics, 2008-09)
    In a 2006 article in Demography, Jo Anna Gray, Jean Stockard and Joe Stone (GSSi)observe that among black women and white women ages 20 to 39, birth rates increased sharply for unmarried women over the period 1974 to ...
  • Cohort Effects on Nonmarital Fertility 

    Stockard, Jean; Gray, Jo Anna; O'Brien, Robert; Stone, Joe A. (Joe Allan), 1948- (University of Oregon, Dept of Economics, 2007-05)
    The authors employ a newly developed method to disentangle age, period and cohort effects on nonmarital fertility ratios (NFR) from 1972 to 2002 for U.S. women aged 20-44 – with a focus on three specific cohort factors: ...
  • Taxes, Government Expenditures, and State Economic Growth: The Role of Nonlinearities 

    Bania, Neil; Gray, Jo Anna (University of Oregon, Dept of Economics, 2006-06)
    Barro’s (1990) model of endogenous growth implies that economic growth will initially rise with an increase in taxes directed toward “productive” expenditures (e.g., education, highways, and streets), but will subsequently ...
  • Childbearing, marriage and human capital investment 

    Gray, Jo Anna; Stone, Joe A. (Joe Allan), 1948-; Stockard, Jean (University of Oregon, Dept of Economics, 2006-02)
    This paper proposes and tests a simple joint explanation for i) increases in marital and nonmarital birth rates in the United States over recent decades, ii) the dramatic rise in the share of nonmarital births, and iii) ...
  • Ricardian Equivalence for Sub-national States 

    Gray, Jo Anna; Stone, Joe A. (Joe Allan), 1948- (University of Oregon, Dept of Economics, 2005-12-12)
    The authors test Ricardian equivalence within an endogenous growth model for U.S. states, which have high rates of migration relative to most countries. Results are consistent with both Ricardian equivalence and endogenous ...
  • A Tale of Two Shares: The Relationship between the 

    Gray, Jo Anna; Stockard, Jean; Stone, Joe A. (Joe Allan), 1948- (University of Oregon, Dept of Economics, 2004-06-01)
    We develop a model of fertility and marriage that implies a magnified effect of marriage rates on the share of births to unmarried women. For U.S. data, plots and regression estimates support the prediction that the share ...
  • The Rising Share of Nonmarital Births: Fertility Choices or Marriage Behavior? 

    Gray, Jo Anna; Stockard, Jean; Stone, Joe A. (Joe Allan), 1948- (University of Oregon, Dept of Economics, 2004-11-01)
    Much of the sharp rise in the share of nonmarital births in the United States has been attributed to changes in the fertility choices of unmarried and married women - in response, it is often argued, to various public ...