Monetary Policy, Endogenous Inattention, and the Volatility Trade-off

dc.contributor.authorBranch, William A.
dc.contributor.authorCarlson, John
dc.contributor.authorEvans, George W., 1949-
dc.contributor.authorMcGough, Bruce
dc.date.accessioned2005-03-22T23:14:05Z
dc.date.available2005-03-22T23:14:05Z
dc.date.issued2004-12-07
dc.description52 p.en
dc.description.abstractThis paper addresses the output-price volatility puzzle by studying the interaction of optimal monetary policy and agents' beliefs. We assume that agents choose their information acquisition rate by minimizing a loss function that depends on expected forecast errors and information costs. Endogenous inattention is a Nash equilibrium in the information processing rate. Although a decline of policy activism directly increases output volatility, it indirectly anchors expectations, which decreases output volatility. If the indirect effect dominates then the usual trade-off between output and price volatility breaks down. This provides a potential explanation for the "Great Moderation" that began in the 1980's.en
dc.format.extent531074 bytes
dc.format.mimetypeapplication/pdf
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/1794/662
dc.language.isoen_US
dc.publisherUniversity of Oregon, Dept of Economicsen
dc.relation.ispartofseriesUniversity of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers ; 2004-19
dc.subjectExpectationsen
dc.subjectOptimal monetary policyen
dc.subjectBounded rationalityen
dc.subjectEconomic stabilizationen
dc.subjectAdaptive learningen
dc.titleMonetary Policy, Endogenous Inattention, and the Volatility Trade-offen
dc.typeWorking Paperen

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