Expectations, Deflation Traps and Macroeconomic Policy

dc.contributor.authorEvans, George W., 1949-
dc.contributor.authorHonkapohja, Seppo, 1951-
dc.date.accessioned2011-02-10T00:50:29Z
dc.date.available2011-02-10T00:50:29Z
dc.date.issued2009-07-06
dc.description32 p.en_US
dc.description.abstractWe examine global economic dynamics under infinite-horizon learning in a New Keynesian model in which the interest-rate rule is subject to the zero lower bound. As in Evans, Guse and Honkapohja (2008), we find that under normal monetary and fiscal policy the intended steady state is locally but not globally stable. Unstable deflationary paths can arise after large pessimistic shocks to expectations. For large expectation shocks pushing interest rates to the zero lower bound, temporary increases in government spending can be used to insulate the economy from deflation traps.en_US
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/1794/10967
dc.language.isoen_USen_US
dc.publisherUniversity of Oregon, Dept of Economicsen_US
dc.relation.ispartofseriesUniversity of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers;2010-5
dc.subjectAdaptive learningen_US
dc.subjectMonetary policyen_US
dc.subjectFiscal policyen_US
dc.subjectZero interest rate lower bounden_US
dc.titleExpectations, Deflation Traps and Macroeconomic Policyen_US
dc.typeWorking Paperen_US

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