Browsing by Subject "Probability"

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  • Slovic, Paul; Fischhoff, Baruch; Lichtenstein, Sarah (Accident Analysis and Prevention, 1978)
    Motorists' reluctance to wear seat belts is examined in light of research showing (a) that protective behavior is influenced more by the probability of a hazard than by the magnitude of its consequences and (b) that people ...
  • Slovic, Paul (Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 1972)
    An effort was made to construct two structurally similar risk-taking tasks in order to evaluate inter-task consistency of individual differences. Only the mode of response differed between tasks. In one task, subjects chose ...
  • Ahlquist, Blair, 1979- (University of Oregon, 2010-09)
    We compare the relaxation times of two random walks - the simple random walk and the metropolis walk - on an arbitrary finite multigraph G. We apply this result to the random graph with n vertices, where each edge is ...
  • Slovic, Paul; Monahan, John (1995)
    Young adults were shown hypothetical stimulus vignettes describing mental patients and were asked to judge a) the probability that the patient would harm someone else, b) whether or not the patient should be categorized ...
  • Slovic, Paul; Fischhoff, Baruch; Lichtenstein, Sarah (Environment: Science and Policy for Sustainable Development, 1979)
    The management and regulation of high-risk technologies need to be based on an understanding of the ways in which people think about risk. Without such understanding, well-intended laws and policies may be ineffective, or ...
  • Slovic, Paul; Lichtenstein, Sarah (Journal of Experimental Psycholog, 1971)
    Subjects in 3 experiments chose their preferred bet from pairs of bets, and later bid for each bet separately. In each pair, one bet had· a higher probability ·of winning (P bet); the other offered more to win (S bet). ...
  • Beyth-Marom, Ruth (Decision Research, 1981-12)
    Previous experiments have demonstrated but not explained people's tendency to exaggerate the probability of conjunctive events. The present study explores this tendency in several different contexts designed to reveal ...
  • Kadane, Joseph B.; Lichtenstein, Sarah (Decision Research, 1982)
    Calibration concerns the relationship between subjective probabilities and the long-run frequencies of events. Theorems from the statistical and probability literature are reviewed to discover the conditions under which ...

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